Aurora Cannabis Triple Top Fails

Aurora Cannabis Inc. (ACB),  a Canadian-based global medical cannabis company, put in three successive tops (triple top) before it succumbed to a prolonged price downside as shown in the price chart below.

 

3D Chart of All Buy and Sell Returns

The 3D chart of the 6,903 buy and sell percent returns based on 118 monthly closes from August 29, 2014 to May 24, 2024 shows 2,304 (33.38%) profitable returns (green areas) and 4,599 (66.62%) unprofitable returns (red areas) The ratio of unprofitable to profitable to returns was 1.996.


The largest single unprofitable return was a loss of 99.73% for the buy on September 28, 2018 at $1,152 and the sell on February 29, 2024 at $3.14.

In addition, a total of 3,719 buy and sell returns were losses of 50 percent or more. And 1,872 buy and sell returns were losses of 90 percent or more.


Return Chart for All Monthly Buy Dates

Another way to look at buy and sell returns is to examine the returns associated with every monthly buy date and its price. For each buy date the percent return is computed using the current monthly closing price. The chart below shows 117 returns. Only 12 (10.26%) returns were profitable (green vertical lines) and 105 (89.74%) returns were unprofitable (red vertical lines).

Lesson

Beware of downside prices.

See 23andMe Has Bad Downside Genes.

See Canopy Growth Craters to Downside.

See Kohl's Investors Experience a Bumpy Ride.

See Peloton's Relentless Downside Causes "Bloodbath" for Investors.

See Tilray Investors Experience Downside "Bloodbath".

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