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Is the Commodities Bubble Over?

Stocks of commodity-based companies had been hitting all-time highs in 2007, but many of them have recently experienced significant price declines prompting the question - is the commodities bubble about to burst or are these stocks just undergoing a normal price correction process?

Consider the current downside price corrections (in percent) from all-time highs of eleven large commodity-based stocks:

Commodity-Based Stocks - Decline from All-time Highs
Stock
Symbol
Price
High
% Down
Comment
Alcoa
$36.18
$48.77
-25.82%
Aluminum producer
Terra Nitrogen
$88.62
$140.35
-38.85%
Nitrogen fertilizers
Cameco
$39.05
$56
-30.27%
Uranium mining
Cleveland-Cliffs
$68.05
$92.06
-26.08%
Iron ore pellet producer
CF Industries Holdings
$55.26
$68.05
-18.80%
Nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold
$86.14
$100.15
-13.99%
Copper and gold mining
Massey Energy
$19
$30.73
-38.17%
Coal mining
Rio Tinto
$266.46
$327.12
-18.54%
Mining conglomerate
Terra Nitrogen
$88.62
$140.34
-36.85%
Nitrogen fertilizers
Vulcan Materials
$93.76
$128.62
-27.10%
Construction aggregates
United States Steel
$91.53
$127.26
-28.08%
Steel producer
NOTE: Price data are from finance.yahoo.com as August 3, 2007 close.


It's still too soon to know if the commodities bubble has burst, but is surely will at some point. Be careful with any commodity-based stock.


Related Articles:

Anatomy of a Bubble Top
buyupside.com Natural Resources Portfolio
Fertilizer Stocks
Metal Mining Stocks
Price Patterns - A Bubble Top Is an Extreme Pattern
Steel Stocks
Uranium Mining Stocks


Posted August 4, 2007.

 



 


 

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